How Will the New U.S. Administration Approach Global Nuclear Proliferation? Implications for the Middle East and Northeast Asia
BySunwoo Paek [Institute for National Security Strategy]
▶Shift in U.S. Nuclear Policy:Trump’s second term is expected to prioritize bilateral negotiations over multilateral agreements, with a focus on symbolic deals and direct engagement in the Middle East and Northeast Asia.
▶Middle East Challenges:Reviving the Iran nuclear deal remains unlikely due to conflicting goals, while Trump’s focus on Israel’s security complicates broader regional nuclear diplomacy.
▶North Korea and Arms Control:Trump’s personal diplomacy with Pyongyang may shift toward arms control talks, potentially undermining long-term denuclearization and posing challenges for South Korea’s security.
